Levered Exposure Demand

Leverage as a return, volume, and adoption magnifier for prediction markets.

Prediction markets express probabilities, which means they naturally have capped upside. A YES share priced at 0.34 can at most go to 1.00; a NO priced at 0.12 can at most go to 1.00.

Large belief shifts translate into modest raw percentage returns.

This is both the strength and the limitation of PMs:

• Strength: prices reflect conviction

• Limitation: conviction cannot be magnified unless leverage exists

Every major directional asset class in finance inflected asymmetrically once credit entered the system. Prediction markets sit on the same curve today, and we expect credit to be a central force accelerating capital formation and liquidity in the space.

“Let me express a strong view without needing 10× the capital” is a universal trader expectation that has been proven true across asset classes.

Multiply fulfills it safely and deterministically, while removing any burden on terminals to find more liquidity or carry risk.